Bitcoin in January: Every January Since 2015
Bitcoin has risen in 6 of 12 Januarys since 2015 (50%, against 56% for all months), with an average change of −1.2% and a median of −3.5%. Its best January was 2023 (+39.8%) and its worst 2015 (−32.1%). January ranks 12 of 12 by average change.
Bitcoin in every January, 2015–2026
% change in the monthWhat happens in February after January
How often February rose after bitcoin ended January higher or lower, compared with all months (56% rose).
After a higher January
InconclusiveAfter bitcoin ends January higher, February has risen 67% of the time since 2014 (4 of 6), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +12.7% and a median of +10.8%: too few cases to say.
After a lower January
InconclusiveAfter bitcoin ends January lower, February has risen 83% of the time since 2014 (5 of 6), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +7.7% and a median of +11.9%: too few cases to say.
"Momentum" or "rebound" only when the share differs from all months by at least 5 percentage points, with at least 20 cases, and by more than chance would explain (95% confidence); otherwise "inconclusive". With one month a year, most single-month differences are within chance. The same figures for every month together: bitcoin seasonality.
Bitcoin in January, Year by Year
Month-end close and the change in January, with February next to it.
| Year | Close, end of January | January | February after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $78,621 | −10.2% | −14.8% |
| 2025 | $102,405 | +9.6% | −17.6% |
| 2024 | $42,583 | +0.8% | +43.7% |
| 2023 | $23,139 | +39.8% | 0.0% |
| 2022 | $38,483 | −16.9% | +12.2% |
| 2021 | $33,114 | +14.2% | +36.3% |
| 2020 | $9,351 | +30.0% | −8.0% |
| 2019 | $3,458 | −7.6% | +11.5% |
| 2018 | $10,221 | −27.8% | +1.7% |
| 2017 | $970 | +0.7% | +21.6% |
| 2016 | $369 | −14.4% | +18.7% |
| 2015 | $217 | −32.1% | +16.9% |
In the calendar in January
- 3 January: anniversary of the first bitcoin block (2009).
- US spot bitcoin ETFs began trading on 11 January 2024.
Events that fall in the month; they do not explain any single year's move.
Bitcoin by Month
Bitcoin in January: FAQ
Is January a good month for bitcoin?
Bitcoin has risen in 50% of Januarys since 2015 (6 of 12), against 56% for all months, with an average change of −1.2%. January ranks 12 of 12 months by average change. In the last 10 years it rose 6 times. Seasonal patterns are not a reliable guide to any single year.
What was bitcoin's best January?
2023, when bitcoin rose 39.8%. The worst was 2015 (−32.1%).
What happens to bitcoin in February after a higher January?
After bitcoin ends January higher, February has risen 67% of the time since 2014 (4 of 6), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +12.7% and a median of +10.8%: too few cases to say.
What happens to bitcoin in February after a lower January?
After bitcoin ends January lower, February has risen 83% of the time since 2014 (5 of 6), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +7.7% and a median of +11.9%: too few cases to say.
History, not advice: past monthly patterns do not predict any single month. Data to 26 October 2026.
Cite this page
For essays, articles and research. Prices on this page update daily, so the citations include today's date as the date you accessed it.
@misc{corgano2026bitcoininjanuaryevery, author = {{Corgano}}, title = {Bitcoin in January: every January since 2015}, howpublished = {\url{https://bitcoinprice.corgano.com/bitcoin-in-january}}, year = {2026}, note = {Corgano Bitcoin Price, accessed 2026-10-27}}