Bitcoin in October: Every October Since 2014
Bitcoin has risen in 9 of 12 Octobers since 2014 (75%, against 56% for all months), with an average change of +16.6% and a median of +12.9%. Its best October was 2017 (+49.1%) and its worst 2014 (−12.6%). October ranks 1 of 12 by average change. So far in October 2026, bitcoin is −4.2% (to 26 Oct).
Bitcoin in every October, 2014–2025
% change in the monthWhat happens in November after October
How often November rose after bitcoin ended October higher or lower, compared with all months (56% rose).
After a higher October
InconclusiveAfter bitcoin ends October higher, November has risen 67% of the time since 2014 (6 of 9), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +14.7% and a median of +8.8%: too few cases to say.
After a lower October
InconclusiveAfter bitcoin ends October lower, November has risen 33% of the time since 2014 (1 of 3), against 56% for all months, with an average change of −14.1% and a median of −17.5%: too few cases to say.
"Momentum" or "rebound" only when the share differs from all months by at least 5 percentage points, with at least 20 cases, and by more than chance would explain (95% confidence); otherwise "inconclusive". With one month a year, most single-month differences are within chance. The same figures for every month together: bitcoin seasonality.
Bitcoin in October, Year by Year
Month-end close and the change in October, with November next to it.
| Year | Close, end of October | October | November after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 so far | $80,007 | −4.2% | — |
| 2025 | $109,556 | −3.9% | −17.5% |
| 2024 | $70,215 | +10.9% | +37.4% |
| 2023 | $34,668 | +28.6% | +8.8% |
| 2022 | $20,496 | +5.5% | −16.2% |
| 2021 | $61,319 | +40.0% | −7.0% |
| 2020 | $13,781 | +27.8% | +42.4% |
| 2019 | $9,200 | +10.9% | −17.7% |
| 2018 | $6,318 | −4.6% | −36.4% |
| 2017 | $6,468 | +49.1% | +58.2% |
| 2016 | $701 | +15.0% | +6.4% |
| 2015 | $314 | +33.1% | +20.1% |
| 2014 | $338 | −12.6% | +11.7% |
In the calendar in October
- Crypto traders nicknamed the month "Uptober".
- 31 October: the bitcoin white paper was published (2008).
Events that fall in the month; they do not explain any single year's move.
Bitcoin by Month
Bitcoin in October: FAQ
Is October a good month for bitcoin?
Bitcoin has risen in 75% of Octobers since 2014 (9 of 12), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +16.6%. October ranks 1 of 12 months by average change. In the last 10 years it rose 8 times. Seasonal patterns are not a reliable guide to any single year.
What was bitcoin's best October?
2017, when bitcoin rose 49.1%. The worst was 2014 (−12.6%).
What happens to bitcoin in November after a higher October?
After bitcoin ends October higher, November has risen 67% of the time since 2014 (6 of 9), against 56% for all months, with an average change of +14.7% and a median of +8.8%: too few cases to say.
What happens to bitcoin in November after a lower October?
After bitcoin ends October lower, November has risen 33% of the time since 2014 (1 of 3), against 56% for all months, with an average change of −14.1% and a median of −17.5%: too few cases to say.
History, not advice: past monthly patterns do not predict any single month. Data to 26 October 2026.
Cite this page
For essays, articles and research. Prices on this page update daily, so the citations include today's date as the date you accessed it.
@misc{corgano2026bitcoininoctoberevery, author = {{Corgano}}, title = {Bitcoin in October: every October since 2014}, howpublished = {\url{https://bitcoinprice.corgano.com/bitcoin-in-october}}, year = {2026}, note = {Corgano Bitcoin Price, accessed 2026-10-27}}